Venezuela’s not about drugs.
It’s about oil. It’s about power. And it’s about ratings.
Any other explanation is a lie.
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| Apparently, Trump has a lot on his mind... |
Throughout US history, military interventions have almost always given presidents an immediate surge in approval—George H.W. Bush in Panama (1989), George W. Bush in Iraq (2003), and even Ronald Reagan, post‑recession, in (for goodness’ sake) the tiny island of Grenada (1983).
Each time, the White House offered a noble rationale: Panama was about stopping the drug trade. Iraq was about weapons of mass destruction. Grenada was about protecting American medical students after a Marxist coup.
Look closer: the pattern is unmistakable. The “justifications” were pretexts. The real stakes were control of trade routes, oil reserves, and presidential power—accomplished through toppling sovereign regimes.
And now, just as it was then, so it is in oil‑rich Venezuela.
Trump’s team has been laying the groundwork, claiming that any military action is to stop drugs that are killing Americans.
For more than two months, the US has been targeting and destroying boats—and killing their occupants—in the Caribbean, insisting that intelligence shows these are fentanyl‑bearing vessels bound for American shores.
Wow.
Either US intelligence is catastrophically wrong, or it is deliberately
lying.
Because fentanyl comes from Mexico, not Venezuela. Cartels traffic it over
land routes, not through the Caribbean. If Venezuelan boats are smuggling
anything, it’s cocaine bound for Europe—not fentanyl coming into the US.
So Trump’s pretense for a military buildup is—no surprise—a lie.
Why, then, bully and possibly attack Venezuela?
Well, there’s that approval‑rating surge for a president watching his MAGA
base crumble—dissatisfaction with the economy, the Epstein files released
against his wishes, and the rebellion of Marjorie “Traitor” Greene.
But there’s more. Trump is seeking regime change, to remove Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro.
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| Is Venezuela's Maduro preparing for a fight? |
I’m not saying that would be a bad thing. Imagine living in a country where a
president rules by decree, ignores other branches of government, presides over
a collapsed economy, enriches his cronies, curbs religious freedom, silences
opposition, and censors the media. Yikes. That’s a nightmare.
But Trump isn’t trying to end nightmares. He’s trying to script his own
dream of dominance.
It’s the oil. It’s the power.
By asserting US dominance, Trump would proclaim himself the “savior” of
the hemisphere—halting Venezuela’s drift toward Russia, China, and Iran—while
posing as a strongman among the leaders he admires: Erdogan, Orban, Putin, Xi.
And unlike that rogue’s gallery, Maduro’s isn't Trump's pal.
Pal or not, access to Venezuela’s massive oil reserves would be a bonus—fuel for Trump’s
elusive quest to lower inflation, and profit for his allies.
But unlike Panama, Iraq, or Grenada, intervention here will be costly and messy.
Maduro is shielded from sanctions, backed by his military, and armed by
Russia, China, and Iran. They won’t abandon their foothold in the Western
Hemisphere quietly.
Trump could, instead, build coalitions with Latin American democracies,
strengthen sanctions, or offer humanitarian aid to weaken Maduro’s ties to
adversarial powers.
But cooperation isn’t Trump’s style.
So, he’ll continue to bully. To threaten. To disparage.
And to lie that it’s about the drugs.
Panama, Iraq, Grenada—were also each sold on a lie.
My cut: Venezuela may be the costliest lie yet.